Week 12 of the college football season brings us another delicious menu of November action with at-large and potential automatic bid teams looking to make a statement. Let’s take a look at the latest predictions for the best games from an analytical football model.

We have a clearer, if incomplete, picture of where things stand nationally after the release of the second College Football Playoff rankings, and after last week’s remarkable voting and seeding changes, it’s clear there’s still a lot to play for across the the country in major conferences.

What do the analytical models suggest for the most important Week 12 action?

As we look ahead to this week’s games, let’s check out the latest college football predictions from the Football Power Index computer prediction model.

The model simulates each NCAA college football game 20,000 times and uses key analytics from both teams and selects winners based on an estimated scoring margin per game.

Lines courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and subject to change

Ohio State vs. Northwestern

What the model says: Not a surprise, perhaps, but the Buckeyes are just about the consensus pick, with more than a 95 percent chance to beat the Wildcats on the road, but they can’t afford to look forward to next week’s game against undefeated Indiana.

Line: Ohio State -5/28

Prediction: Ohio State at 27

ATS selection: Northwest +28.5

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Texas vs. Arkansas

What the model says: Texas comes out ahead of the rival Razorbacks in 86 percent of computer simulations against a Hogs defense that ranks among the SEC’s worst against the pass, while the Longhorns are nearly the best at throwing the ball.

Line: Texas -12.5

Prediction: Texas at 16

ATS selection: Texas -12.5

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Utah vs. Colorado

What the model says: Sitting in second place in the Big 12 and in control of their proverbial destiny, the Buffaloes have a 75 percent chance to take down the Utes at home and keep Coach Prime’s bunch in the playoff picture heading deeper into November.

Line: Colorado -12.5

Prediction: Colorado at 10

ATS selection: Utah +12.5

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Clemson vs. Pittsburgh

What the model says: Clemson is the 69 percent road favorite to take down the Panthers, who are on a costly two-game skid after starting 7-0 this year, but we’ll see if Pitt’s superb front seven has any surprises in store for the Tigers’ must-win offense -win mode.

Line: Clemson -11.5

Prediction: Clemson at 7

ATS selection: Pittsburgh +12.5

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Tulane vs. Navy

What the model says: Navy is clinging to every hope it can make the AAC title game, but Tulane is the 74 percent favorite to win, which, if it does, would clinch a spot in the game with the selection committee keeping an eye on developments there . Both of these teams run the ball very well.

Line: Tulane -7.5

Prediction: Tulane at 9

ATS selection: Tulane -7.5

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Mercer vs. Alabama

What the model says: Cupcake Week comes a little early for the Crimson Tide, who have a more than 99 percent chance to cruise with a date at Oklahoma next and the Iron Bowl after that sitting in the top dozen of the College Football Playoff bracket this week.

Line: Alabama -41.5

Prediction: Alabama with 45

ATS selection: Alabama -41.5

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Penn State vs. Purdue

What the model says: A virtual lock for the Nittany Lions with a 97 percent chance to take down the hapless Boilermakers on the road and take the next step toward what should be an 11-1 record if all goes according to plan.

Line: Penn State -29.5

Prediction: Penn State by the 31st

ATS selection: Penn State -29.5

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Virginia vs. Notre Dame

What the model says: Virginia just knocked off Pittsburgh on the road, but the index predicts no such luck against the Irish, who have a 96 percent chance to stay in the win column, and by a good margin, too, which should appease the selection committee again. week.

Line: Notre Dame -22.5

Prediction: Notre Dame at 28

ATS selection: Notre Dame -22.5

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Boston College vs. SMU

What the model says: Sitting all alone atop the ACC standings, the Mustangs are in a position to stay there when the Eagles undergo a change at quarterback this week, with an 87 percent chance of winning outright and remaining perfect in conference play.

Line: SMU -17.5

Prediction: SMU at 17

ATS selection: Boston College +17.5

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Louisville vs. Stanford

What the model says: The path to a 9-win season is there for the Cardinals, who are fourth in the ACC this week and own that win over Clemson, with a 91 percent chance to take down Stanford.

Line: Louisville -20.5

Prediction: Louisville at 21

ATS selection: Louisville -20.5

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LSU vs. Florida

What the model says: Two SEC rivals that were torn apart last week have little to play for on paper, but LSU is still mathematically alive in the postseason, even if it needs a lot of outside help. Brian Kelly’s team has a 58 percent chance of taking down the Gators on the road.

Line: LSU -3.5

Prediction: LSU by 3

ATS selection: Florida +3.5

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Missouri vs. South Carolina

What the model says: Much has been said about the Gamecocks’ dominant front seven and their newfound rushing offense in recent games, and they have a 70 percent chance of taking down Mizzou, which is still a bit in the playoff conversation, albeit whisperingly.

Line: South Carolina -13.5

Prediction: South Carolina with 7

ATS selection: Missouri +13.5

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Boise State at San Jose State

What the model says: The committee favorite in the Group of Five is given 83 percent odds to stay the course this week on the road.

Line: Boise State -13.5

Prediction: Boise State no later than 14

ATS selection: Boise State -13.5

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Arizona State vs. Kansas State

What the model says: Kansas State is a heavy favorite on the index, with a 75 percent chance to win this battle between two of the four teams going 4-2 in Big 12 play and desperate to break out of the tie.

Line: Kansas State -7.5

Prediction: Kansas State last 10

ATS selection: Kansas State -7.5

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Oregon vs. Wisconsin

What the model says: Another big road trip for the Ducks, who have a strong 76 percent chance to beat the Badgers in this road game and remain undefeated atop the Big Ten standings, where they sit deadlocked with surprise challenger Indiana.

Line: Oregon -13.5

Prediction: Oregon at 10

ATS selection: Wisconsin +13.5

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Tennessee vs. Georgia

What the model says: This week’s game finds the Bulldogs with their backs against a Vols team with a question mark at quarterback after Nico Iamaleava’s injury, but Georgia still has a solid 62 percent chance to win the game outright and avoid disaster.

Line: Georgia -9.5

Prediction: Georgia with 4

ATS selection: Tennessee +9.5

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New Mexico State vs. Texas A&M

What the model says: No real threat of an upset here for the Aggies, who enter their late-season cupcake matchup with a better than 99 percent chance of winning.

Line: Texas A&M -38.5

Prediction: Texas A&M with 43

ATS selection: Texas A&M -38.5

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Washington State vs. New Mexico

What the model says: John Mateer has this high-powered Cougars offense sitting at 8-1 and in the College Football Playoff rankings, and with an 82 percent chance to win on the road and continue this successful season toward a decent bowl game.

Line: Washington State -10.5

Prediction: Washington State no later than 14

ATS selection: Washington State -10.5

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Kansas vs. BYU

What the model says: Don’t overlook the Jayhawks, who are starting to build some momentum late in the season, and will test the undefeated Cougars, who have a 61 percent chance to stay that way, showing the PCs have some respect for KU in this one.

Line: BYU -2.5

Prediction: BYU no later than 4

ATS selection: BYU -2.5

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Game odds are updated regularly and may change.

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