Arizona State and Kansas State meet in a Big 12 championship game.

With a must-win matchup on the docket, let’s target both teams’ quarterbacks in the player tackle market with Sam Leavitt in a favorable matchup for Arizona State and Kansas State’s Avery Johnson rushing yard tackle after a bye week.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Sam Leavitt OVER 177.5 passing yards

The Arizona State offense was on shaky ground last week without Cam Skattebo on the field, but with the team’s star returning at Kansas State, this matchup sets up the Michigan State transfer.

While Leavitt has only eclipsed that mark in four of eight games, I think this playbook bodes well for the Sun Devils’ passing game now that the offense is at full strength.

The Wildcats defense has struggled against the pass all season, ranking outside the top 80 in coverage grade per Pro Football Focus and right at the national average in EPA/Pass.

Considering the Sun Devils are significant underdogs, I think we’ll see Leavitt pass more than the average game script and he can get to a fairly pedestrian 200 yards (and even less than that) to remain competitive.

Avery Johnson OVER 40.5 Rushing Yards

Johnson has shown he has a high ceiling as a rusher, not just over 40 yards but 60 yards in four of nine games this season.

The dual-threat quarterback could be used as a rusher more in this matchup after a bye week for Kansas State following a loss to Houston.

Although Arizona State’s rush defense is strong, top 35 in yards per carry and EPA/Rush, the defensive line doesn’t get a ton of push, ranking 62nd in defensive line yards and outside the top 100 in tackles for loss this season .

Johnson is a willing rusher and without much threat of sacks, I think we’ll see him hit some double-digit yard rushes to get over this mark.

Game odds are updated regularly and may change.

Follow Reed on Twitter @ReedWallach for all his college football bets bet stamp @rw33

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