The Chiefs (9-0) have appeared more vulnerable than their record suggests, but they shouldn’t be dismissed lightly, even as they prepare to play an immovable object.

The Bills (8-2) are 7-0 when favored this season, and quarterback Josh Allen is arguably playing the best football of his seven-year NFL career.

Through 10 games, Allen is 190-of-299 (63.5%) passing for 2,281 yards, 17 touchdowns and four interceptions while adding 261 yards and four touchdowns on 55 carries.

Per Pro Football Focus dataAllen is 61-of-91 (61.6%) for 848 yards, 11 touchdowns and an interception when blitzed. Kansas City ranks third in blitz rate (34.5%).

Kansas City’s defensive line’s ability to generate pressure could be the key to stopping the Bills’ offense. With tackle Chris Jones a Defensive Player of the Year contender, the team has the talent to confuse Allen without sending blitzes.

But Mahomes is the biggest difference. While he is in the midst of his worst statistical season – through nine games, he has the lowest touchdown rate (3.9%) and passer rating (90.3) with the highest interception rate (2.9%) of his seven-year career as starter – You can count on Mahomes to come through when it matters most.

The Chiefs rank first in third/fourth down rate, and Mahomes is the main reason for that.

Per rbsdm.comMahomes ranks first in expected points (.444) per play on third and fourth downs. He has a 56.8% success rate in 111 games.

The Chiefs have put the two-time MVP in favorable situations. Mahomes’ 7.3 air yards on third and fourth downs ranks 25th of 27 quarterbacks with at least 75 third- and fourth-down plays, but Sumer Sports data shows Kansas City ranks first in average third-down distance, needing just 6.1 yards per conversion attempt.

Mahomes is also first in the league in fourth quarter comebacks (three) and game-winning drives (four).

If the game is as close as the oddsmakers believe, the three-time Super Bowl champion could have enough magic to move the Chiefs to 10-0.