US presidential polls: Donald Trump wins Nevada, beats sixth battleground state in 2024 US polls
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US presidential polls: Donald Trump wins Nevada, beats sixth battleground state in 2024 US polls

President-elect Donald Trump won his sixth battleground state in the 2024 election early Saturday, beating Vice President Kamala Harris in Nevada.

The Associated Press declared Trump the winner after concluding that there were not enough uncounted ballots in the state’s most heavily Democratic precincts to overcome the former president’s 46,000 votes over the Democratic nominee.

Trump clinched a second term early Wednesday when Wisconsin pushed him past the 270 electoral votes needed to win, so Nevada’s six electoral votes only added to the size of his victory: He now has 301 electoral votes and has won six of the seven battleground states. Only Arizona remains to be named.

The AP only declares a winner when it can determine that a trailing candidate cannot close the gap and overtake the poll leader.

Here’s a look at how the AP called this race:

CANDIDATES: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Chase Oliver (Libertarian) Vs. Joel Skousen (Independent American Party) vs. “None of these candidates.”

WINNER: Trump.

Voting closing time: 10 p.m. ET

ABOUT THE RACE

Nevada has one of the nation’s best overall records as a presidential bellwether, although voters there backed Democrat Hillary Clinton over Trump in 2016. The state remains a hotly contested battleground. Both Harris and Trump have made frequent visits to Nevada since becoming their parties’ nominees, including Halloween rallies in Clark County, home of Henderson and Las Vegas. Both campaigns concentrated their visits on these two cities, as well as Reno in Washoe County.

In statewide elections, Democrats tend to carry only two of Nevada’s 17 counties: Clark and Washoe. Whether they win depends on how big their margins are in the two counties. Clark County has by far the largest population in the state. A large vote margin there is crucial for democratic electoral success. It accounted for 69% of the total state vote in 2020. Washoe is more competitive, although Democrats have consistently prevailed there in high-profile state campaigns, including Democratic Governor Steve Sisolak’s failed re-election bid in 2022. Republicans tend to win the rest of the state by wide margins.

WHY KADE AP LIP

Most of the final ballots to be counted come from Clark and Washoe counties. They both have a long established history of supporting Democrats for president. Nationwide, votes counted after Election Day have also tended to favor Democrats.

Trump’s lead narrowed as more of those ballots are counted during the week, but Harris did not win those ballots by a large enough margin to overtake Trump for the lead. When the AP called the race, the AP estimated that Harris would need to win 85% of all votes left to count — a margin of victory she never achieved in any update since the polls closed.

Published by:

Manisha Pandey

Published on:

November 9, 2024