Harris, Trump polls predict who will win the presidential election
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Harris, Trump polls predict who will win the presidential election

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The 2024 general election is Tuesday, and the state’s early voting and mail-in voting statistics show more than 6 million voters in Florida have already voted. Their decisions are made, but millions more will vote and we won’t know the results of the presidential election for several days.

Two months of national polls showed Vice President Kamala Harris with a slight lead, but former President Donald Trump has been gains ground and also took the lead in some of the crucial swing states that are likely to decide the race.

Here is what the opinion polls say now with just days to go—and how they’ve changed over the past two months—as we head into Election Day on Tuesday, November 5.

Who is leading in the polls and benefiting from the odds now?

  • ABC News Project 538 shows Harris leading in national polls 48% over Trump 46.7% — compared to last week Harris 48.1% over Trump 46.4%, compared to Harris 48.5% over Trump 46.1% two weeks ago, compared to Harris 48% over Trump 47.3% three weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.5% over Trump 45.8% four weeks ago then, compared to Harris 48.3% over Trump 45.6% five weeks agovs. Harris 48.3% over Trump 45.3% six weeks ago vs. Harris 47.1% over Trump 44.4% seven weeks ago vs. Harris 47.1% over Trump at 43.9% eight weeks agoor compared to Harris’ 47.0% over Trump’s 43.7% nine weeks ago.
  • 270 towin shows Harris holding lead in national polls by 0.8% over Trump – compared to 1.5% over Trump last week.
  • realclear polling shows the odds have turned in Trump’s favor with a +0.5% split on Harris — compared to Harris over Trump by +0.1 last week.
  • Polymarketa crypto trading platform expresses growing odds of betting crowd, in favor of Trump 63.7% over Harris 36.1% – compared to last week’s Trump 61.3% over Harris 38.9%.

Measurements and odds are constantly changing. These numbers were reflected on Thursday, October 31, 2024 at 11:10

How accurate have election odds or polls been in previous presidential elections?

The betting favourite just have lost twice since 1866according to Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.

The merit list when voting is more challenging because different pollsters asking different audiences can often draw higher margins of error.

According to Pew Researchtrust in opinion polls has suffered given the mistakes in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.

In both of those general elections, many polls underestimated Republican Donald Trump’s appeal.

Is it too late to register to vote in Florida?

If you are a registered voter, early voting is still available until Saturday, November 2 in most counties and Sunday, November in others. If you are not registered to vote, the deadline was October 7 for the 2024 general election.

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