The shock poll has Harris leading Trump in Iowa by 4 points against the vice president
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The shock poll has Harris leading Trump in Iowa by 4 points against the vice president

Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by three points in the final Des Moines Register-sponsored poll in Iowa three days before the election.

The shock survey showed a seven-point shift from Trump to Harris from September when he held a four-point lead over the vice president (47% to 43%) in the same poll.

“It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming,” pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the poll, told the newspaper on Saturday. “She has clearly jumped into a leadership position.”

The vote was conducted between October 28-31 and Harris’ lead is within a 3.4% margin of error.

Still, the survey appears to be an outlier. Another poll from Emerson College released Saturday showed Trump with a 10-point lead (53% to 43%), and he maintains a decent lead in other polls.

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Shared Harris and Trump

Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by three points in the final Des Moines Register-sponsored poll in Iowa three days before the election. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin; Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

The Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll, which measures support in the Hawkeye State, is nationally recognized, and its final results mirrored the state’s 2016 and 2020 election results, according to the Des Moines Register.

The 2016 poll showed Trump with a seven-point lead over Hillary Clinton and the 2020 poll showed him with the same lead over President Biden.

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Trump's endorsement show in Iowa

A Trump supporter’s Halloween display in Iowa. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

Iowa, not considered a swing state, is geographically close to the Rust Belt swing state the states of Pennsylvania and Michigan, and it shares a border with Wisconsin.

The same poll taken in June showed Trump holding a substantial 18-point lead over Biden before he dropped out of the race in July after a shaky debate performance.

The Nov. 2 poll shows Harris gaining support among women in a race with a historic gender gap as the vice president has made the issue of abortion a centerpiece of his campaign, according to the paper.

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The remaining 9% of respondents said they would vote for another candidate, were not sure who they would vote for, or did not plan to vote. Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., who dropped out of the race as an independent candidate and endorsed Trump, received 3% of the vote.